I expect the next six months to look a lot like September 2026. The market has found a floor around 8.5M visits a month, and nothing in the data says it is about to break out either way. What makes me more confident than the number alone is that name searches are growing, so the people are there even when the rankings wobble.
What would change my mind: one of the five biggest sites winning or losing a first-page position for “ai girlfriend”, a Google update, or a site going offline. None of those is in the numbers until it happens, which is exactly why there is a range. Every forecast is marked in public the month after, right or wrong.